prediction

"We are now gaining a modern version of Laplace's Demon—that is, the Large Language Model (LLM)—which uses 'tokens' instead of physical particles and the 'Transformer' instead of equations of motion, targeting everything verbalized in the world for computation."

"I would like to apply my original horse racing prediction model to GI races for the next year to verify its performance. This article serves as a record summarizing the prediction results of the verified races and my thoughts on the model's behavior based on the actual race results."

"Everytime I ask ChatGPT to "pick number from 0 to 100" it ALWAYS sends 73"

"Instead of asking an AI model to react to every situation as if it has never seen anything like it before, KEPT lets it recall similar moments from previous drives."

"By dynamically adjusting the weights according to market conditions, we improved the performance of the single model and enhanced its ability to follow the market environment."

"The goal was to be faithful to the facts, with a touch of humor and irony."

"He expects 2027 to become an important inflection point for artificial intelligence to change the way we work."

"We introduce a computationally efficient debiased machine learning framework that allows for valid prediction intervals when only a subset of confounders is measured in the target population, a common challenge referred to as runtime confounding."

"CAMP consistently outperforms strong baselines while consuming fewer tokens than most competing multi-agent methods, with voting records and arbitration traces offering transparent decision audits."

"The AI Nikkei Average × Bitcoin Diagnosis application provides the probability of increase, decrease, and estimated price range for the next day."

"But one of the biggest lessons from this exercise is that AI improved my process more than it improved certainty."

"In the General AI Prediction Leaderboard 2026年3月榜单中，EchoZ-1.0以Elo 1034.2位列第一"

"印3着内カバー率96%は「54レース中52レースで、3着以内に印付きの馬が1頭以上いた」という指標です。"

"I will try to verify the performance by applying the self-made horse racing prediction model to GI races for the next year."

"The internal improvements were focused on three areas: model upgrade (gpt-5.1 → gpt-5.4), acquisition of the last 3 furlongs and passing order (scraping extension), and improvement of web search queries."

"AI is evolving from a mere "text generator" to an "autonomous researcher"."

"The model got 13 of the Sweet 16 teams right, which is objectively strong in a tournament designed to punish confidence and reward chaos."

"The system aims for latency targets: simulator < 200ms, actual quantum cloud < 5 seconds."

"FastAPIでQMLモデルをREST APIとしてサービングする方法"

"Sudden and unexpected, landslides and avalanches claim thousands of lives each year and cause billions of dollars in damage. What if we could see them coming?"

"The survey results show that the reality of the AI boom and future predictions are revealed."

"In this work, we present an empirical study of the properties a wake-effect predictor must satisfy to accurately model the interactions between two robots mediated by a fluid."

"Prediction markets and AI forecasting are colliding as platforms like Metaculus and ForeNex challenge gambling-driven models with data, transparency, and human-machine intelligence."

"But we got 13 out of the Sweet 16 picks correct. Which is almost certainly better than I could have done on my own."

"Despite operating in a purely zero-shot setting, JointFM reduces the energy loss by 14.2% relative to the strongest baseline when recovering oracle joint distributions generated by unseen synthetic SDEs."

"On the Who&When benchmark, PROMAS achieves 22.97% step-level accuracy while processing only 27% of reasoning logs."

"The important thing is this one point: Next token prediction is not the only method."

"Free tutorial on Machine Learning Projects (End to End) in Apache Spark and Scala with Code and Explanation"

"10代の凶悪犯罪に加担するAI、銃撃や爆破の計画に助言"

"Most importantly, my Sweet Sixteen, Elite Eight, and Final Four picks are all still standing."