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Analysis

This paper addresses the limitations of traditional optimization approaches for e-molecule import pathways by exploring a diverse set of near-optimal alternatives. It highlights the fragility of cost-optimal solutions in the face of real-world constraints and utilizes Modeling to Generate Alternatives (MGA) and interpretable machine learning to provide more robust and flexible design insights. The focus on hydrogen, ammonia, methane, and methanol carriers is relevant to the European energy transition.
Reference

Results reveal a broad near-optimal space with great flexibility: solar, wind, and storage are not strictly required to remain within 10% of the cost optimum.