Research Paper#Decarbonization, Material Flow Analysis, China, Vehicle Fleet🔬 ResearchAnalyzed: Jan 3, 2026 17:15
Decarbonizing China's Private Vehicles: A Material Flow Analysis
Published:Dec 30, 2025 16:36
•1 min read
•ArXiv
Analysis
This paper is significant because it provides a comprehensive, dynamic material flow analysis of China's private passenger vehicle fleet, projecting metal demands, embodied emissions, and the impact of various decarbonization strategies. It highlights the importance of both demand-side and technology-side measures for effective emission reduction, offering a transferable framework for other emerging economies. The study's findings underscore the need for integrated strategies to manage demand growth and leverage technological advancements for a circular economy.
Key Takeaways
- •China's vehicle fleet is projected to peak mid-century with a significant shift towards new energy vehicles.
- •Cumulative metal demand will be substantial, with recycling playing a crucial role.
- •Technological upgrades can significantly reduce embodied carbon emissions.
- •Integrated demand management and technology-oriented strategies are essential for decarbonization.
Reference
“Unmanaged demand growth can substantially offset technological mitigation gains, highlighting the necessity of integrated demand- and technology-oriented strategies.”