Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI
Analysis
This article summarizes a debate on the race to Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) featuring three prominent AI experts. The core concern revolves around the potential for AGI development to outpace safety measures, with one expert predicting AGI by 2028 based on compute scaling, while another emphasizes unresolved fundamental cognitive problems. The debate highlights the lack of trust among those building AGI and the potential for humanity to lose control if safety progress lags behind. The article also mentions the experts' backgrounds and relevant resources.
Key Takeaways
“If Kokotajlo is right and Marcus is wrong about safety progress, humanity may have already lost control.”